Signal Board — September 30, 2026
Signal Summary
🚨 Early Alert — CEG (DR 0.747, Power & Utilities)
⚡ Watch — AVGO (DR 0.848, Semiconductors · Gate 2: 2/4)
⚡ Watch — NRG (DR 0.796, Power & Utilities · Gate 2: 0/4)
No Action: LRCX · VST · EMR · PH · ETN · AMD · USB · PNC · FITB · JPM · KKR · BX · BLK · AIG · MET · PRU
Analyst Notes
No Full Signal this month. AVGO stays on Watch, one indicator short. A quarterly earnings update lifted its ROE and book value and moved its DR from 0.874 to 0.848. MFI is above 50 and the MACD line has crossed above its signal line, though both remain below zero. Stochastics %K has climbed back above 50, but %D sits just under it at 48.22, and RSI at 43.66 does not confirm. A %D close above 50 with MFI holding would complete the Full Signal.
CEG holds Early Alert for a second month at a DR of 0.747, just inside the 0.75 threshold. The stock fell 7.6% in September without any change to its DR, because the ratio moves only when earnings and book value are refreshed.
NRG stays on Watch but has no technical support. The stock fell 13.1% for the month, Stochastics sits near the floor at 4.55, and none of the four Gate 2 indicators is bullish. Its DR held at 0.796.
LRCX is the lesson of the month. Its DR of 0.889 is still in the Watch range and all four Gate 2 indicators read bullish, but a 9.0% gain pushed Stochastics %K to 92.08, above the 70 ceiling. The rule keeps the board from chasing extended moves, and LRCX moves to No Action until it cools.
Elsewhere, all four banks closed with RSI near or below 30 after a weak month, but none meets the valuation gate. BX fell 21.7% and remains, with VST, one of the two most overextended names on the board at a DR above 1.5.